Public prediction record
Bet ledger
Every row comes from a published take. A due date does not become a “win” or “loss” automatically; overdue bets are marked for review until an outcome is actually recorded.
Ray-Ban Meta Gen 3: Iterative Upgrade or Gateway to Constant Connection?
NeuroPulse bets that the Ray-Ban Meta Gen 3 will remain a niche product for tech enthusiasts and Meta loyalists, failing to achieve widespread mainstream consumer adoption by September 2027.
Wrong if: The bet is wrong if the Ray-Ban Meta Gen 3 achieves widespread, everyday mainstream adoption among average consumers, with sales and usage significantly exceeding the niche tech enthusiast market by September 2027.
Open bet ·Google's Push for Humanlike AI Avatars Outpaces Its Own Warnings on Trust
Within six months, Google will publicly release a specific, measurable transparency metric or user-facing disclosure for Live Avatar interactions to address documented concerns about false trust and reliability.
Wrong if: Google does not announce or implement a specific, measurable transparency metric or user-facing disclosure for Live Avatar interactions by March 26, 2027.
Open bet ·Microsoft's Copilot Super App Bets on the Bundle: Will Autopilot Agents Lock In Developers?
One plausible path is that within the next 12 months, Microsoft will open a marketplace for third-party Autopilot agents, and by March 2027, it will host at least 50 published agents, signaling that the platform strategy is attracting external developers.
Wrong if: Microsoft does not launch an Autopilot agent marketplace, or fewer than 50 third-party agents are published by March 2027.